The first week of January this year was the slowest since 2018 in terms of the number of searches compared to the busiest week of the previous year.

The findings from Twenty7Tec’s mortgage market report also shows the first week of January was the slowest first week in a year since 2018 in terms of ESIS documentation produced.

However, a bounce back is expected once the Covid-19 vaccine is more widely rolled out.

Phil Bailey

Twenty7Tec sales director Phil Bailey says: “We ran the stats of January 1 to 7 for each of the past six years and expressed them as a percentage of the year’s highest weekly figures.

“In most other years, the total number of mortgage searches in the first week of the year is around 75 per cent of the previous year’s busiest week. However, last week, this this figure dropped to be 67.43 per cent of the prior year’s high.

“In terms of weekly ESIS documentation as a percentage of the prior year’s busiest week, last week was the slowest first week of the year since 2018, with less than 60 per cent of the prior year’s busiest activity.

“It’s fair to say that you can’t tell too much from a single week, but I believe that the industry is looking for a bellwether to tell us how the market is likely to perform this year in light of the quadruple whammy of Brexit, stamp duty changes, Covid, and the state of the broader economy.

“Our previous analysis throughout 2020 showed an immediate surge in mortgage activity, post any regional or national lockdown. If the trend continues through 2021, we should expect a significant bounce as the promises of a post-vaccine world and subsequent stability returns.”

Year First week’s mortgage searches as a percentage of all prior year searches First week’s mortgage searches as a percentage of prior year weekly max searches First week’s ESIS documents as a percentage of prior year’s total ESIS documents First week’s ESIS documents as a percentage of prior year’s maximum weekly ESIS documents
2016 2.85 per cent 72.36 per cent 3.55 per cent 68.21 per cent
2017 1.83 per cent 73.01 per cent 1.62 per cent 61.65 per cent
2018 1.61 per cent 65.05 per cent 1.40 per cent 56.95 per cent
2019 1.68 per cent 73.58 per cent 1.70 per cent 72.64 per cent
2020 1.95 per cent 76.68 per cent 2.21 per cent 67.57 per cent
2021 1.73 per cent 67.43 per cent 1.41 per cent 59.87 per cent